Wednesday, February 20, 2008

India rupee at 5-mth low on Dollar crunch, global risk

The Indian rupee fell to a five-month low on Wednesday, as dealers sold the local unit aggressively to meet dollar demand from overseas investors who withdrew some funds on concerns about the global economy. The partially convertible rupee was at 40.065/075 per dollar, down from its previous finish of 39.91/92 per dollar.

It had last traded at 40 per dollar on Sept. 20.

"It's hard to meet the demand for dollars at the moment, especially with no real inflows, which is putting a lot of pressure on the rupee," said the chief dealer with a corporate.

India's benchmark share index Sensex fell more than 1 percent in early deals on Wednesday, taking cues from weak Asian equities, with Japan's Nikkei average falling more than 2 percent, as investors locked in profits amid economic concerns.

Markets were cautious after oil prices surged to a record high above the $100 mark, which sparked fears of higher inflation in a U.S. economy already struggling with the credit crisis.

A dealer said demand for dollars from an oil company put further pressure on the local unit.

Oil is India's largest import, and rising crude prices usually exert downward pressure on the rupee.

Some dealers said that the rupee's losses would be capped around 40.25 by exporters, who would likely sell their dollar holdings at around those levels.

"Exporters understand that the rupee is going to move down before it moves up again, and they're going to wait for a while for the best rate," said a dealer with a foreign bank.

No comments:

DISCLAIMER

The author is not a registered financial adviser, and you should not construe anything written here to be investment advise or recommendation. All information is for expressing views/ opinions & discussion only. No representation is being made that any investment made on the basis of data or information on this blog will result in profits. This blog is not associated with any organization or company in any manner. The author may or may not be investing in the products mentioned. Contents, gathered from various sources without any liability on the part of the author, may or may not represent author's view.